Global Macroeconomic and Geopolitical Trends
“More recently, the West began using technology to flatten the very physical evidence of natural cycles. With artificial light, we believe we defeat the sleep-wake cycle; with climate control, the seasonal cycle; with refrigeration, the agricultural cycle; and with high-tech medicine, the rest-recovery cycle.” ― William Strauss, The Fourth Turning: An American Prophecy “Sometime before the year […]
What Happens Next Economists describe inflation as “too many dollars chasing too few goods.” When you have too many dollars chasing the same thing, the chase will drive the price up. Things will become more expensive. If you look below, you will notice the stock market chart from the end of World War 2 1945
The Devil is in the Details Read More »
We will fight and hedge them every way we can. Our portfolios are built to survive economic Darwinism. Anti-fragile. The Impartial Lens Model Portfolio +45.65% Vs SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) +17.51%: 11 October 2018 – 20 July 2020: We have had 5 double baggers (+100%) in this portfolio. 4 remain open and we
Portfolio Update July-20-2020 Read More »
Two new positions have been added to The Impartial Lens Portfolio. We opened a long position in American Outdoor Brands Corporation (AOBC) on Wednesday 27 May. From Monday 01 June, the company will change its name back to Smith & Wesson Brands. The new ticker symbol is ‘SWBI’ and will be listed on the NASDAQ. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/american-outdoor-brands-prepares-spin-200500475.html
Portfolio Update: 11 October 2018 -Present +30.65% Vs SPY-S&P 500 Index +4% in same time frame. Investment Themes: Short S&P 500, Long Volatility, Meat Shortage, Gold Miners, Coffee Addiction, Investment Grade Corporate Bonds, Water, Gold, Silver, 1-3 Year U.S. Treasuries, Codiv 19 Vaccine, Phone your Doc, Long U.S. Dollar.
‘Sooner or later everyone sits down to a banquet of consequences’ – Robert Louis Stevenson Exit stage denial & enter stage anger. We are exiting the denial stage and entering the stage of anger as detailed in Elizabeth Kuubler Ross’s Paradigm of Loss Model in relation to the Covid 19 Pandemic and ensuing economic crisis.
Market Summary: The long and the short of it. Asia The Chinese markets re-opened in the early hours of Monday morning after the extended holiday period and they did not surprise the consensus opinion. The Chinese markets dove into the red at the open, the Shanghai Composite down -8.00% at the close. Europe Europe like
Market Summary: The long and the short of it. The World Health Organization (WHO) declared the Wuhan coronavirus a “public health emergency of international concern.” The markets took this news as good-bad news. The stock markets, which tumbled on Thursday due to the rising death toll in the world’s second-biggest economy, steadied slightly on Thursday
Market Summary: The long and the short of it. ASIA Asian markets succumbed to the news that the coronavirus has not gone away overnight. Japanese and Hong Kong shares fell, Nikkei 225 is off -1.79% while the Hang Seng dropped -1.83%. The Shanghai Composite is not trading as the Chinese Lunar New Year holidays have