Global Macroeconomic and Geopolitical Trends
**Part 1** There’s a quiet tension building beneath the surface of the markets these days. It doesn’t scream from every headline, but if you sit with the data long enough, the pattern becomes unmistakable: the system is tightening. 1. Energy Is Reclaiming Control At the heart of it all is energy. Disruptions in the Strait […]
The System Is Tightening: How Energy and AI Are Testing a Fragile Market Read More »
Markets love to put on a brave face. This past week they did exactly that: equities climbing higher, a “risk-on” vibe in the air, whispers of progress in the Strait of Hormuz. On the surface, everything looked… fine. But zoom out. What you’re actually watching isn’t conviction. It’s relief. And relief is a dangerously thin
Everything Is Fine… Until It Isn’t Read More »
This Week in Trading. The bounce in the markets we expected last week arrived. We closed out the short positions we established on 04 April, 2022. We closed SQQQ for a gain of +68%, TZA +45%, and SPXS +38%. We noted that we were about to pass through a significant storm in the markets at
The 17th Week of Trading 2022. Holding short positions, especially leveraged short positions, is like holding a tiger by the tail. Great fun until you get savaged. We’ve been short with leverage of all the major indices in the United States since April 4th, 2022. Despite our warning last week to rig for stormy weather,
The 16th Week of Trading 2022. The 16th week of trading started off optimistically for market participants. At the same time, we at the impartial lens were busy furling the sails, battening down the hatches, and tightening up our stops. It was all plain sailing for the markets into mid-morning on Thursday, all indices moving
The 15th Week of Trading 2022. The shortened week of trading started badly for US markets and ended badly. All US indices were down on the week, the tech-heavy Nasdaq suffering the most, down almost -4%. The European markets performed well last week, with the UK’s FTSE 100 up +0.85%, French CAC 40 up +1.98%,
The 14th Week of Trading 2022. After an initial surge in US equities to begin the trading week, the attempt to breach the wall of moving averages failed. The rest of the week saw all US indexes trade lower into Friday’s close, with cryptocurrencies leading the way, except Monero., Monero had an exceptional week of
The 13th Week of Trading 2022. The wall of resistance that we mentioned last week for U.S. markets held firm. We had a push early in the week to breach the wall, but all of U.S. indices ended flat for the week. The European markets were mixed, with the FTSE leading the pack, +1.06%. France
The Twelveth Week of Trading 2022. Last week’s powerful global equity rally started the week on a shaky footing; participants were nervous to see which direction the markets would move. Most markets did finish the week positively, but not convincingly so. The squeeze higher in the US met resistance at the wall of moving averages